{"id":48,"date":"2025-07-16T16:08:31","date_gmt":"2025-07-16T16:08:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/?p=48"},"modified":"2025-07-24T11:33:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-24T11:33:52","slug":"powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html","title":{"rendered":"\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u89e3\u8077\u98a8\u66b4\u5f15\u7206\u9ec3\u91d1\u5927\u6f32\u8d851%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a016\u65e5\u665a\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u6700\u9707\u64bc\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u83ab\u904e\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53ef\u80fd\u89e3\u50f1\u73fe\u4efb\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u7684\u50b3\u805e\u3002\u9019\u9805\u653f\u6cbb\u98a8\u66b4\u4e0d\u50c5\u91cd\u5275\u7f8e\u5143\u4fe1\u7528\uff0c\u66f4\u76f4\u63a5\u63a8\u52d5\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u5f9e 3318 \u7f8e\u5143\u4f4e\u9ede\u5f37\u52e2\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 3371 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u885d\u9ad8 99 \u95dc\u53e3\u5931\u6557\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u81f3 98 \u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u63a8\u5347\u672c\u6587\u5c07\u5ba2\u89c0\u5206\u6790\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u5927\u6f32\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u806f\u6027\uff0c\u89e3\u8b80\u5e02\u5834\u907f\u96aa\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u6df1\u5c64\u908f\u8f2f\u3002<\/div>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_75 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<label for=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-69e12bd68951e\" class=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-label\"><span class=\"ez-toc-cssicon\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/label><input type=\"checkbox\"  id=\"ez-toc-cssicon-toggle-item-69e12bd68951e\"  aria-label=\"\u986f\u793a\/\u96b1\u85cf\" \/><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#%E9%AE%91%E5%A8%81%E7%88%BE%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96%E7%AB%8B%E5%A0%B4%EF%BC%9A%E8%81%AF%E6%BA%96%E6%9C%83%E7%8D%A8%E7%AB%8B%E6%80%A7%E8%88%87%E9%80%9A%E8%86%A8%E6%8E%A7%E5%88%B6%E7%9A%84%E5%A0%85%E6%8C%81\" >\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\uff1a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5805\u6301<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#%E8%A7%A3%E5%83%B1%E5%82%B3%E8%81%9E%E7%82%BA%E4%BD%95%E5%BC%95%E7%88%86%E9%BB%83%E9%87%91%E5%A4%A7%E6%BC%B2%EF%BC%9F%E4%B8%89%E5%A4%A7%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%A9%9F%E5%88%B6%E8%A7%A3%E6%9E%90\" >\u89e3\u50f1\u50b3\u805e\u70ba\u4f55\u5f15\u7206\u9ec3\u91d1\u5927\u6f32\uff1f\u4e09\u5927\u5e02\u5834\u6a5f\u5236\u89e3\u6790<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-4' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#1_%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%83%E4%BF%A1%E7%94%A8%E5%8D%B1%E6%A9%9F%EF%BC%9A%E5%84%B2%E5%82%99%E8%B2%A8%E5%B9%A3%E5%9C%B0%E4%BD%8D%E5%8B%95%E6%90%96\" >1. \u7f8e\u5143\u4fe1\u7528\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a\u5132\u5099\u8ca8\u5e63\u5730\u4f4d\u52d5\u6416<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#2_%E8%B2%A8%E5%B9%A3%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96%E8%BD%89%E5%90%91%E9%A0%90%E6%9C%9F%EF%BC%9A%E9%99%8D%E6%81%AF%E5%8A%A0%E9%80%9F%E8%88%87%E9%80%9A%E8%86%A8%E6%83%A1%E5%8C%96\" >2. \u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u9810\u671f\uff1a\u964d\u606f\u52a0\u901f\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u60e1\u5316<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#3_%E5%85%A8%E7%90%83%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E4%B8%8D%E7%A2%BA%E5%AE%9A%E6%80%A7%E5%A2%9E%E5%8A%A0\" >3. \u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u589e\u52a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/jinxuntai.com\/market\/technical-analysis\/powell-dismissal-gold-surge-over-1.html\/#%E6%8A%80%E8%A1%93%E9%9D%A2%E8%88%87%E5%BE%8C%E5%B8%82%E5%B1%95%E6%9C%9B%EF%BC%9A%E9%BB%83%E9%87%91%E6%88%96%E6%B8%AC%E8%A9%A6_3400_%E9%97%9C%E5%8F%A3\" >\u6280\u8853\u9762\u8207\u5f8c\u5e02\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u9ec3\u91d1\u6216\u6e2c\u8a66 3400 \u95dc\u53e3<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"header-vfC6AV auto-hide-last-sibling-br\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%AE%91%E5%A8%81%E7%88%BE%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96%E7%AB%8B%E5%A0%B4%EF%BC%9A%E8%81%AF%E6%BA%96%E6%9C%83%E7%8D%A8%E7%AB%8B%E6%80%A7%E8%88%87%E9%80%9A%E8%86%A8%E6%8E%A7%E5%88%B6%E7%9A%84%E5%A0%85%E6%8C%81\"><\/span>\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\uff1a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5805\u6301<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u73fe\u4efb\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5091\u7f85\u59c6\u30fb\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u81ea 2018 \u5e74\u4e0a\u4efb\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u59cb\u7d42\u79c9\u6301\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u539f\u5247\uff0c\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u58d3\u529b\u4e0b\u4ecd\u5805\u6301\u5c08\u696d\u5224\u65b7\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5805\u6301\u8fd1\u671f\u6f14\u8b8a\u70ba\u8207\u767d\u5bae\u7684\u660e\u986f\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/div>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7279\u9ede\u4e3b\u8981\u9ad4\u73fe\u5728\u4e09\u500b\u65b9\u9762\uff1a<\/div>\n<ul class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br\">\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\"><strong>\u6297\u901a\u81a8\u512a\u5148<\/strong>\uff1a\u5118\u7ba1\u7279\u6717\u666e\u591a\u6b21\u8981\u6c42\u964d\u606f\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u7dad\u6301\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u5728 4.25%-4.5% \u5340\u9593\uff0c\u5f37\u8abf\u5728\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc 2% \u76ee\u6a19\uff086 \u6708 CPI \u540c\u6bd4 2.7%\uff09\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u904e\u65e9\u964d\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u767c\u901a\u81a8\u60e1\u5316\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\"><strong>\u95dc\u7a05\u901a\u8139\u8b66\u544a<\/strong>\uff1a\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u591a\u6b21\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u653f\u7b56\uff08\u5982\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u3001\u65e5\u97d3\u52a0\u5fb5 20%-40% \u95dc\u7a05\uff09\u5c07\u63a8\u9ad8\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u52a0\u5287\u901a\u81a8\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\"><strong>\u9810\u7b97\u722d\u8b70<\/strong>\uff1a\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7e3d\u90e8 25 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7ffb\u4fee\u9810\u7b97\u8d85\u652f\u88ab\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5718\u968a\u6307\u63a7\u70ba\u300c\u5962\u4f88\u6d6a\u8cbb\u300d\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u65b9\u6f84\u6e05\u7121\u8c6a\u83ef\u8a2d\u65bd\uff0c\u6b64\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ecd\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u653f\u6cbb\u65bd\u58d3\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u82e5\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u88ab\u8feb\u96e2\u8077\uff0c\u5c07\u610f\u5473\u8457\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5fb9\u5e95\u653f\u6cbb\u5316\uff0c\u6253\u7834\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u7368\u7acb\u50b3\u7d71\uff0c\u9019\u6b63\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6700\u64d4\u6182\u7684\u300c\u5236\u5ea6\u6027\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\u3002<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<hr \/>\n<h3 class=\"header-vfC6AV auto-hide-last-sibling-br\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E8%A7%A3%E5%83%B1%E5%82%B3%E8%81%9E%E7%82%BA%E4%BD%95%E5%BC%95%E7%88%86%E9%BB%83%E9%87%91%E5%A4%A7%E6%BC%B2%EF%BC%9F%E4%B8%89%E5%A4%A7%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%A9%9F%E5%88%B6%E8%A7%A3%E6%9E%90\"><\/span>\u89e3\u50f1\u50b3\u805e\u70ba\u4f55\u5f15\u7206\u9ec3\u91d1\u5927\u6f32\uff1f\u4e09\u5927\u5e02\u5834\u6a5f\u5236\u89e3\u6790<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u53ef\u80fd\u906d\u89e3\u50f1\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u50b3\u51fa\u5f8c\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u5148\u6291\u5f8c\u63da\uff0c\u5f9e 3318 \u7f8e\u5143\u4f4e\u9ede\u53cd\u5f48\u81f3 3371 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6f32\u5e45\u9054 1.6%\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u5f9e 99 \u56de\u843d\u81f3 98 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002\u9019\u6ce2\u884c\u60c5\u80cc\u5f8c\u96b1\u85cf\u8457\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5e02\u5834\u908f\u8f2f\uff1a<\/div>\n<h4 class=\"header-vfC6AV auto-hide-last-sibling-br\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%83%E4%BF%A1%E7%94%A8%E5%8D%B1%E6%A9%9F%EF%BC%9A%E5%84%B2%E5%82%99%E8%B2%A8%E5%B9%A3%E5%9C%B0%E4%BD%8D%E5%8B%95%E6%90%96\"><\/span>1. \u7f8e\u5143\u4fe1\u7528\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a\u5132\u5099\u8ca8\u5e63\u5730\u4f4d\u52d5\u6416<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u5168\u7403\u4fe1\u7528\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\u3002\u6b77\u53f2\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u53d7\u640d\u901a\u5e38\u5c0e\u81f4\u8a72\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u9577\u671f\u8cb6\u503c\u3002\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u9280\u884c\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u82e5\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u56e0\u653f\u6cbb\u58d3\u529b\u96e2\u8077\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 24 \u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u66b4\u8dcc \u3002<\/div>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u9019\u7a2e\u64d4\u6182\u6e90\u65bc\uff1a<\/div>\n<ul class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br\">\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\uff1a\u653f\u6cbb\u5316\u7684\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u53ef\u80fd\u72a7\u7272\u9577\u671f\u7a69\u5b9a\u8ffd\u6c42\u77ed\u671f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u570b\u969b\u8cc7\u91d1\u91cd\u65b0\u914d\u7f6e\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\u548c\u6a5f\u69cb\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u901f\u5206\u6563\u7f8e\u5143\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u8f49\u5411\u9ec3\u91d1\u7b49\u66ff\u4ee3\u5132\u5099\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u50b5\u52d9\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\u5c07\u63d0\u9ad8\u7f8e\u570b\u878d\u8cc7\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5c0d 35 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br-paragraph-space\">\u5168\u7403\u9023\u9396\u53cd\u61c9\uff1a\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u8cc7\u672c\u5916\u6d41\u3001\u532f\u7387\u52d5\u76ea\uff0c\u63a8\u5347\u907f\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div class=\"auto-hide-last-sibling-br paragraph-JOTKXA paragraph-element br-paragraph-space\">\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u758a\u52a0\uff1a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u540c\u6642\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c0d\u6b50\u76df\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u7b49\u52a0\u5fb5\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\uff088 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u751f\u6548\uff09\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5f37\u5316\u907f\u96aa\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3 class=\"header-vfC6AV auto-hide-last-sibling-br\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%8A%80%E8%A1%93%E9%9D%A2%E8%88%87%E5%BE%8C%E5%B8%82%E5%B1%95%E6%9C%9B%EF%BC%9A%E9%BB%83%E9%87%91%E6%88%96%E6%B8%AC%E8%A9%A6_3400_%E9%97%9C%E5%8F%A3\"><\/span>\u6280\u8853\u9762\u8207\u5f8c\u5e02\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u9ec3\u91d1\u6216\u6e2c\u8a66 3400 \u95dc\u53e3<span 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